Saturday, January 19, 2008

(Update: Hillary Wins) Follow Nevada Dem Caucus Results

2:42 PM: Official site back up showing with about 86% reporting:
Senator Hillary Clinton: 50.76%   
Senator Barack Obama: 45.12%   
Senator John Edwards: 3.8%   
Uncommitted: 0.28%   
Congressman Dennis Kucinich: 0.04%   
Senator Mike Gravel: 0%
Note: These are percentages of delegates to the county convention, not individual votes.

According to the WaPo's Chris Cillizza: "Despite the support of the Culinary Workers [for Obama], it was Clinton who dominated the nine Strip casinos -- winning Bellagio and Paris among others. Obama won only Caesars. Turnout on the Strip was far lower than predicted in early estimates."

2:14 PM: CNN projects Hillary Clinton as winner with 59% reporting:

2,981
50%
0
59%
reporting
2,648
45%
0
269
5%
0
Uncommitted
13
0%
0
3
0%
0
0
0%
0

MSNBC also calls Clinton the winner, showing 50% of results in.
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I wonder which campaign is behind this robocalling against Obama? Comment on DailyKos: Robocall trashes "Barack Hussein Obama"

The Obama campaign has released a recording (mp3) it says came from a Nevadan's answering machine of an anonymous robocall that criticizes Obama for taking money from special interests while repeating, four times, his rarely used middle name: "Hussein."

"I'm calling with some important information about Barack Hussein Obama," the call begins, before saying that  "Barack Hussein Obama says he doesn't take money from Washington lobbyists or special interest groups but the record is clear that he does."

After mentioning his full name once more, the call concludes:

"You just can't take a chance on Barack Hussein Obama."

Listen to the recording of it on Obama website
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Earlier posting:

I can't get into the official results page of today's Nevada Dem Caucus because the site reportedly crashed from heavy traffic, but CNN has frequently updated results here. The MSNBC version is here.

CNN screen capture at 2:10 PM:

2,681
52%
0
51%
reporting
2,312
44%
0
196
4%
0
Uncommitted
10
0%
0
3
0%
0
0
0%
0

According to today's entrance poll it sure looks good for Hillary Clinton, but nobody really knows how predictive such polling will be in a state that's never had a caucus before. Hard to know how voters will act within the rather odd and public framework of an Iowa-like caucus (rather than the state's normal primary process). At any rate, Hillary wins for initial choice in almost every entrance poll category except voters under age 44, Washoe County, Independents and African-Americans, where Obama trumps her.

January 19, 2008 at 01:35 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink | Comments (4)

Friday, January 18, 2008

Predict the Winner of Nevada Dem Caucus

The Nevada Dem Caucus will be held tomorrow, Saturday, January 19, from Noon to 2:00 PM PST. Who do you think will win? (Pick one.) You have until Noon tomorrow to weigh in. This isn't about which candidate you support, but about the one you think will garner the most votes. Speaking of Dem Caucuses, you have until 5:00 PM Monday, January 21, 2008 to request an absentee (mail-in) ballot for New Mexico's February 5th Caucus. You'll also be able to vote that day from Noon to 7:00 PM at 184 polling places around the state. Click for more info.

January 18, 2008 at 12:17 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary, Democratic Party, DFNM Polls | Permalink | Comments (0)

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Dem Prez Race Heating Up in NM; Last Week to Request Absentee Ballot

VotedemWith Gov. Bill Richardson out of the race, word is that New Mexico will be getting more attention from the remaining Dem candidates for president. Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are expected to visit the state before the NM Caucus on February 5th. No word yet on John Edwards. Dennis Kucinich and his wife, Elizabeth, did some stumping in the state last year, but I haven't heard about any more scheduled visits.

Barack Obama
Obama has opened a campaign office at 1000 Second Street NW, just north of downtown Albuquerque, as well as one in Las Cruces at 212 West Hadley Ave, and plans to open one soon in Santa Fe. You can join the New Mexico for Obama group here and sign up for activities. Upcoming events include canvassing in Albuquerque this coming Saturday at 10:00 AM at the Albuquerque campaign office and a dinner and debate party on January 21 at 5:30 PM at Weck's restaurant at 4500 Osuna NE (advance tickets only, $18).

Hillary Clinton
Clinton's campaign in New Mexico is chaired by Lt. Gov. Diane Denish and will be opening at least one office -- in Albuquerque -- soon. There's no New Mexico group listed yet on her campaign website.

John Edwards
Former Attorney General Patricia Madrid has been fundraising and stumping for Edwards in several states, but that's all I know so far.

Dennis Kucinich
Local Kucinich supporters have their own website and you can also tap in via his . This Saturday there's a get-together with pizza and music from 2:00-4:30 PM at the Cesar Chavez Community Center, 7505 Kathryn SE (Louisiana & Kathryn) in Albuquerque, as well as a "Burma Shave" sign event from 2:00 to 3:00 PM at San Mateo and Central in Albuquerque. On Monday, January 28 there's a Kucinich Rally from 6:30 to 8:30 PM at the Barelas Community Center at 801 Barelas Road SW in Albuquerque with music by musicians from Nevada and Arizona. Contact: Martha at 275-0597.

Voting in the NM Dem Caucus
This is the last week for requesting an absentee (mail-in) ballot for our February 5th Dem Presidential Preference Caucus. If you submit a request by 5:00 PM on January 21, 2008, the Democratic Party of New Mexico will mail you a ballot and you must complete and return it by mail, postmarked by January 28, 2008. You must be a registered Democrat to participate in the Caucus. You can download a request form here and mail, email or fax it to the DPNM. You can also call the DPNM office to have a request form sent to you. Democratic Party of New Mexico: 505-830-3650, 1-800-624-2457 (toll-free), 505-830-3645 (fax), info@nmdemocrats.org (email).

There will be 184 Caucus locations around the state where you can vote in person on February 5th from Noon to 7:00 PM. You can read a FAQ sheet prepared by the DPNM here that explains the Caucus process.

Even though a number of candidates have withdrawn their candidacies, their names will still be on the ballot if they were still in the race as of the filing deadline. You can still vote for them, but your vote won't translate into any delegates at the Democratic Convention in Denver in August.

January 17, 2008 at 10:53 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary, Democratic Party | Permalink | Comments (1)

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Tonight: Dem Prez Debate in Nevada

NevadaThe Nevada Democratic Party, the 100 Black Men of America, the US Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, IMPACTO, the African American Democratic Leadership Council and the College of Southern Nevada have teamed up to sponsor a two-hour debate at Las Vegas' Cashman Center on Tuesday, January 15, 2008. The debate, featuring John Edwards, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton (and maybe Dennis Kucinich), will be televised on MSNBC at 7:00 PM MST in New Mexico and live streamed on MSNBC.com. Brian Williams will be the debate moderator, joined by Tim Russert. Natalie Morales will ask the candidates questions submitted online at MSNBC.com and other websites

Kucinich In or Out?
Dennis Kucinich sued NBC to allow him to take part in the event after the network retracted its earlier invitation to participate. After Bill Richardson dropped out of the race, NBC changed its rules to allow only candidates who got double-digit support from voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. Yesterday, Senior Clark County District Court Judge Charles Thompson ruled that Kucinich must be allowed to participate. If he is excluded, Thompson said he would issue an injunction to stop the televised debate. Thompson called it a matter of fairness and said Nevada voters will benefit if they hear from more than just the top three candidates. NBC countered that it will appeal and seek an immediate hearing before the Nevada Supreme Court.

Nevada Dem Caucus
The Nevada Democratic Caucus will be held in hundreds of locations starting at 11:00 AM PST on Saturday, January 19th. Caucus sites include nine special caucus locations within resorts on the Las Vegas Strip that were set up so shift workers can participate.

On Friday, six Democrats and a teachers union reportedly allied with Clinton claiming the rules enabling Las Vegas Strip waitresses, dishwashers and bellhops to caucus inside the resorts violate state law and federal equal protection guarantees. Other caucus-goers lack the same access, the suit argues. Barack Obama has received the endorsement of the Culinary Workers Union, many of whom work on the Strip. A federal judge is expected to rule on the case this week.

A poll released Monday by the Reno Gazette-Journal shows Clinton, Obama and Edwards in a statistical dead heat in Nevada.

January 15, 2008 at 09:36 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink | Comments (1)

Monday, January 14, 2008

Denish Endorses Clinton for Prez, Will Serve as State Chair

SANTA FE -- Lt. Governor Diane Denish today announced her endorsement of Hillary Clinton for president, along with her plans to serve as the campaign's statewide chair.

"I am standing with Hillary Clinton as the chair of her New Mexico campaign because she will fight every day she is in the White House for New Mexico's families and children. She has the heart, the record and the experience to bring about the change we need."

Lt. Governor Denish made the announcement during a teleconference call where she was joined by Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaigorosa, a national chair for the Hillary Clinton campaign. Among her reasons for the endorsement, the Lt. Governor cited Sen. Clinton's work on the State Children's Health Insurance Program, educational improvements and expansion of TriCare, a health care program for National Guard and Reservists.

"Most important, I believe she is the best prepared to end the war in Iraq responsibly and as quickly as possible," the Lt. Governor said. "New Mexicans know Hillary Clinton and how she has fought for people who have been invisible to this administration long enough. She shares our values at a critical time in our nation's history."

January 14, 2008 at 03:03 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary, Local Politics | Permalink | Comments (6)

Friday, January 11, 2008

(Updated) Tonight's NM In Focus: Galisteo Basin Drilling, Richardson Prez Campaign

UPDATE 1/14/08: You can see video of Friday's show by visiting my subsequent post on this controversial issue.
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InfocusYou can tune into this week's New Mexico In Focus on KNME public television tonight at 7:00 PM, with a repeat airing on Sunday at 6:30 AM. The In Focus segment of the show will take a hard look at the future of oil and gas drilling in New Mexico and the latest battleground in the fight over this precious resource: the Galisteo Basin. David Alire Garcia sits down with David Bacon, energy consultant, advocate and former Green Party candidate for the PRC, and Bob Gallagher, President of the New Mexico Oil and Gass Association, for a look at an industry that brings in millions of dollars per year to the state, but is under pressure by many who want tighter regulations to minimize or eliminate environmental threats posed by increased drilling.

Also, host Gene Grant and The Line panel will be discussing Gov. Bill Richardson's withdrawal as a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination and the highlights and lowlights of his campaign, as well as the upcoming legislative session. Guest panelists include New Mexico bloggers Mario Burgos and Heath Haussamen, and John Wertheim, former New Mexico Democratic Party chairman.

January 11, 2008 at 12:06 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary, Energy, Environment, Local Politics, Media | Permalink | Comments (0)

Thursday, January 10, 2008

(Updated: Richardson Drops Out) Watch Richardson Announcement Today at 1 PM

UPDATE 1:45 PM: Gov. Richardson gave about a 15-minute speech and officially dropped out of the Dem presidential contest after what he described as 24 debates and forums (that felt like 200) and hundreds of town hall meetings in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. His campaign raised more than $22 million.

You can read his prepared remarks below the fold. You can watch archived video of the entire announcement on the KRQE News 13 site. Jim Baca has some nice photos to the event over at his blog, Only In New Mexico.

He was introduced by Rep. Tom Udall (NM-03) and his wife, Barbara Richardson, both of whom had been with him recently in Iowa and New Hampshire. I especially liked that he praised all the other Dem presidential candidates, including Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel:

Sen. Joseph Biden's "passion and intellect.
Sen. Christopher Dodd's "selfless dedication to public service."
John Edwards, for being a "singular voice for the most downtrodden."
Sen. Barack Obama, for being a "bright light of hope and optimism."
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's "poise in the face of adversity" and "lifetime of achievement."
Rep. Dennis Kucinich, for being "a man of great decency."
Mike Gravel, for his "brave leadership during the national turmoil of Vietnam."

Richardson said he wasn't endorsing any candidate at this time, and encouraged his supporters to make their own choices.

He called himself very lucky in that he got to marry his high school sweetheart, lives in a place called the Land of Enchantment, has the best job in the world as Governor of the state, and got to run for president. He's looking forward to riding his horse and plunging into the upcoming Legislative Session, where he pledged to work to achieve universal health care for all New Mexicans. He'll work hard to make Tom Udall the next Senator from New Mexico.
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Governor Bill Richardson is expected to officially withdraw from the race for the Democratic nomination for president at 1:00 PM today at the Rotunda at the Santa Fe Roundhouse. All three local TV news stations will broadcast the announcement live, as well as provide a live stream on their websites:

There is also some speculation that Richardson might stay in the race but "suspend" his campaign for the 30-day New Mexico Legislative Session that begins on January 15th.

"Thank You"

Governor Bill Richardson's Prepared Remarks for Thursday, January 10, 2008 in Santa Fe, New Mexico.

Thank you all for coming today.

BillthanxI want to begin today by speaking directly to those who have supported my campaign for president from the very beginning, those who joined us along the way, those who were with us at the end, and most importantly, the people of New Mexico.

It is with great pride, understanding and acceptance that I am ending my campaign for President of the United States.

It was my hope that all of you would first hear this news from me, and not a news organization. But unfortunately, as with too many things in our world today, it's the ending of something that garners the most intense interest and speculation.

It has been an exhilarating and humbling year -- an experience I will treasure and never forget. The voters of this country -- and particularly of the early primary states where I focused my campaign -- tested me in ways I have never been tested. We had 200 debates! Actually, it was only 24 but it sure felt like 200. And, I believe we made our case to the people.

We made our case for change -- guided by an experienced hand.

We made our case for a foreign policy of principle and realism. Of rebuilding alliances through diplomacy and unflagging support for democracy.

We made our case for rebuilding this country with a laser like focus on economic growth, creating quality jobs like we've done in New Mexico, investing in education, science, math and the arts and providing universal health care.

And we made our case for bringing people together -- as I have done for my entire career-Democrats, Independents, Republicans -- to break the gridlock in Washington and get things done for the American people.

I knew from the beginning that this would be an uphill climb. When I entered the campaign, it was clear that we, as Democrats, had the most talented field of candidates in my lifetime running to change the direction of our country. And in the end, one of them will.

Despite overwhelming financial and political odds, I am proud of the campaign we waged and the influence we had on the issues that matter most to the future of this country.

A year ago, we were the only major campaign calling for the removal of all of our troops within a year's time from Iraq. We were the only campaign calling for a complete reform of education in this country, including the scrapping of No Child Left Behind. And we were the campaign with the most aggressive clean energy plan and the most ambitious standards for reducing global warming.

Now, all of the remaining candidates are coming to our point of view. I am confident that the next President of the United States will implement much of what we've been urging for the last twelve months, and our nation and world will be the better for it.

This has been a remarkable process. I have learned I don't have all the answers. Not every solution can be found inside the Beltway.

I have been grilled in over a thousand forums and town meetings, pressed on my views, my accomplishments, my ideas and policy prescriptions for this nation.

From the farm towns of Iowa to the mountain towns of New Hampshire, from the South Carolina shore to the glittering cities of Nevada, I traveled hundreds of thousands of miles, faced tens of thousands of citizens. They shared their hopes, their ideas, their problems and questions with me and -- boy, there were some tough questions. I gave them the best I had-and I gave this race the best I had.

We raised over $22 million, with 68,000 donors. We built a multi-state organization of hundreds of staff and thousands of volunteers. We had organized steering committees in 36 states and are on the ballot in 42 states. And we worked harder than anyone. Boy, did we work hard. And we did our best. And that's all we can expect from each other.

Running for president brings out the best in everyone who graces the stage, and I have learned much from the other candidates running. They have all brought great talents and abilities to the campaign.

Senator Biden's passion and intellect are remarkable.

Senator Dodd is the epitome of selfless dedication to public service and the Democratic Party.

Senator Edwards is a singular voice for the most downtrodden and forgotten among us.

Senator Obama is a bright light of hope and optimism at a time of great national unease, yet he is also grounded in thoughtful wisdom beyond his years.

Senator Clinton's poise in the face of adversity is matched only by her lifetime of achievement and deep understanding of the challenges we face.

Representative Kucinich is a man of great decency and dedication who will faithfully soldier on no matter how great the odds.

And all of us in the Democratic Party owe Senator Mike Gravel our appreciation for his brave leadership during the national turmoil of Vietnam.

I am honored to have shared the stage with each of these Democrats. And I am enormously grateful to all of my supporters who chose to stand with me despite so many other candidates of accomplishment and potential.

Now that my time in this national campaign has come to an end, I would urge those who supported my candidacy to take a long and thoughtful look at the remaining Democrats. They are all strong contenders who each, in their own way, would bring desperately needed change to our country. All I ask is that you make your own, independent choice with the same care and dedication to this country that you honored me with during this campaign.

At this time, I will not endorse of any candidate.

And all I ask of the candidates is that they do not resort to personal attacks to win the nomination. Our country and our party deserve better than that. I have said from the beginning that we must avoid attacking each other and I continue to believe that to this day.

This campaign is not about those of us who ran or are still running. It is about the American people. Disagree on policy, but respect the personal privacy and personal integrity of the others running. To do otherwise could result in another four to eight years of more of the same. And that would be biggest tragedy of all.

Now I am returning to a job that I love, serving a state that I cherish and doing the work of the people I was elected to serve. As I have always said, I am the luckiest man I know. I am married to my high school sweetheart. I live in a place called the Land of Enchantment. I have the best job in the world. And I just got to run for president of the United States.

It doesn't get any better than that.

So, the time has come to end my quest and come home to tackle the challenges before us in New Mexico. Our Legislature starts next week and I intend to put my full efforts behind our number one priority -- extending health insurance to every New Mexican by the end of my term. So, to all New Mexico Legislators and Citizens who participate in the public process -- I have a message -- I am back!

I will continue my international missions to advance the cause of human rights and democracy. I will enjoy riding my horse, again. I will work hard to make Tom Udall the next U.S. Senator from New Mexico.

I'd like to finish this afternoon with the most important part … saying an appropriate thank you to all of you who supported this campaign.

There are so many of you -- thousands of supporters and donors who made my dream your dreams and supported my campaign with your own extraordinary efforts. Let me just name a few:

    Barbara Richardson

    Ed Romero -- Finance Chair

    Dave Contarino -- Campaign Manager

    Amanda Cooper -- Deputy Campaign Manager

    Mike Stratton -- my senior political advisor

    The New Mexico Roadrunners hundreds of them -- who gave their time, and their hard work, to my campaign.

    And my hard-working campaign staff.

I am an optimist. I am positive about this country and our ability to tackle the great challenges ahead. The last year, I have learned so much, but I have learned, most of all, that the people of this country are a sincere and caring people. They are also thoughtful and deadly serious about the choice before them as they consider these candidates. So, it is with an optimistic spirit that I withdraw my candidacy for the Presidency today. I believe in the American people and their wisdom to make the right choice in the weeks and months ahead.

Thank you. God Bless you and God bless America.

January 10, 2008 at 01:45 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink | Comments (3)

Wednesday, January 09, 2008

(Updated: Richardson to Leave Race?) What Will Richardson Do?

UPDATE: Nedra Pickler at the AP reports, based on two anonymous sources close to the Governor, that Bill Richardson will announce tomorrow that he'll end his bid to be the Democratic presidential nominee. The decision allegedly was reached after a meeting with his top advisers Wednesday in New Mexico. However, MSNBC reports that Katie Roberts, deputy communications director for the Richardson campaign, denied the report.
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Despite garnering only 5% in New Hampshire and finishing a distant fourth there, Gov. Bill Richardson is still insisting he will continue on to Nevada's caucus on January 19th. You can see his concession speech on the CSPAN site. The Governor has said he believes he has more support in the West than has been evident back East. We'll see.

Richardson's campaign is reportedly running out of money and bought no ad time in New Hampshire during the week before the primary. In addition, New Mexico's 30-day Legislative Session begins on January 15th and Richardson must put at least some energy into pushing his agenda there. He's supposed to give his State of the State speech at the Roundhouse in Santa Fe on 1/15, and there's a Dem debate that night in Nevada.

Richardson is back in New Mexico today and will be involved in appointing a successor to Sen. Ben Altamirano who passed way recently. After that, it's anyone's guess. The most recent polling numbers on Nevada, from early December, show him in single digits. I'm sure he and his advisers are pondering whether they can stay in until New Mexico's Dem caucus on February 5th, and whether doing so would decrease his power to achieve his legislative agenda in New Mexico. It's a tough call.

VP Slot
How about Richardson's chances of being named the VP candidate if Hillary wins? Even that's looking like a long shot these days. The Clinton camp is reportedly angry about rumors that Richardson's campaign urged supporters in nonviable precincts in Iowa to move to Obama's corner. The Richardson campaign continues to deny the allegation, but it seems to have legs. In this video, Richardson complains he's being blamed in part for Clinton's loss in Iowa:

... it's a lot of the Clinton people that are putting this out and I really resent it. It's wrong. I believe very strongly that this was a big vote for Obama because he brought a lot of new people in. That's why he won and those people should stop trying to get scapegoats.

Howie Morales to Replace Sen. Ben Altamirano?
By the way, former Silver City resident Avelino at NM FBIHOP says it looks like Grant County Clerk Howie Morales has a great chance to be appointed to Sen. Altamirano's State Senate seat after being selected by both Grant and Socorro Counties. I understand that Richardson must appoint someone from the names submitted by the County Commissions of the three counties with territory inside Senate District 28. We don't yet know who the conservative Catron County Commission will recommend when it meets tonight.

January 9, 2008 at 01:12 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary, NM Legislature 2008 | Permalink | Comments (0)

Two States Down, Forty-Eight to Go


Hillary Clinton's NH victory speech

Yes, two states down and forty-eight to go. That's what Edwards had to say in his concession speech (video) last night in New Hampshire, adding he's in it until the Dem Convention in August. I hope he means it. I think Edwards has been crucial in pushing the other candidates to at least talk a more progressively populist game in terms of issues like health care reform, trade and bucking corporate influence. The longer he stays in the race, the more the issues he raises will get at least some attention, despite the media's obvious reluctance to cover him properly. And you never know -- Clinton or Obama could stumble or damaging facts could emerge that favor a resurgence by Edwards. I'm glad he intends to hang in there. I have to admit, however, that I wish he'd change his stump speech so he isn't saying the same things over and over and over at every single one. Enough about the guy with the cleft palate and the mill town already.

Speaking after the vote, Obama (video) emphasized that a second place finish in NH was still a remarkable achievement, and you can see how energized his supporters are in the crowd despite Hillary's win. This is just the beginning. I don't think his Big Mo will ebb one iota.

Personally, I'm glad we have a competitive race that will stretch at least until the Super Tuesday states, including New Mexico, vote on February 5th -- and maybe even beyond. I want to see voters in as many states as possible have a real say in the Dem nomination, not just Iowa and New Hampshire. I have a hunch this was on the minds of many voters in NH yesterday. With the huge stakes in this election cycle, it's important to see how the candidates deal with victory, defeat and the other ups and downs that come with a longer primary race. I think an endurance race produces a stronger nominee than a sprint.

According to CNN's delegate count, Obama has 25, Clinton 24 and Edwards 18. The magic number for winning the nomination is 2,025, so there's a long way to go, and the top three candidates are still fairly neck and neck in terms of pledged delegates. Time online has an excellent interactive map that tallies the pledged delegates state by state that are allocated based on primary and caucus voting.

This part of CNN's scorecard adds in the so-called Super Delegates -- elected officials and others within the Party who are automatically delegates to the convention by virtue of their positions within the Party. In this count, Clinton has 183, Obama 78, Edwards 52, Richardson 19 and Kucinich 1. The Super Delegates aren't bound to stay with the candidates to whom they've voiced their support at this time and allegiances often change as the race progresses and frontrunners emerge.

Who Voted for Clinton?
Based on exit polling numbers provided by MSNBC, Clinton won big among women, those from families earning less than $50,000 a year, union households and those over 40 years of age. It seems clear that the criticisms of Hillary at the last debate and about her tear up at the coffee shop brought women back into the fold who may have been considering voting for Obama. Obama won Independents and younger voters, but by less than he did in Iowa. I'm still surprised that Edwards isn't getting more lower income and union voters given his economic message. My guess is that it may well be a likeability issue. I, too, can have this problem with him. I strongly support his positions and the focus of his campaign, but I still have a bit of a hard time overcoming my perception of him as a little too slick. I think he can come off as more of a polished salesman than the genuine article.

Up Next
The January 19th Nevada caucus, with 25 delegates at stake, is the next major Dem contest. It was just announced that the much sought after endorsement of the powerful Culinary Workers Union Local 226, with 60,000 members in Nevada, is going to Obama. He also has the endorsement of the Nevada chapter of SEIU, which represents 17,500 health care and county workers in the state. This labor support will provide strong ground support for Obama, and the conventional wisdom is that it makes him the favorite to win Nevada. Both Edwards and Clinton have heavily courted Nevada union members in Nevada, but failed to lock in official endorsements.

The January 15th Michigan primary is actually the next scheduled contest, but the DNC withdrew its recognition when Michigan insisted on moving their date ahead of Nevada's. The DNC has said it will refuse to seat Michigan's delegates at the August convention, although few believe they'll follow through on that. All the Dem candidates except Clinton have announced they won't compete in Michigan so it's likely she'll win the state. If the Dem primary remains close through the summer, this could result in a floor fight over the seating of Michigan's delegates. Same with Florida, which also moved up its primary despite DNC threats to refuse to seat its delegates.

Here's the primary and caucus schedule through Super Tuesday:

January 15: Michigan

January 19: Nevada, South Carolina (Republican)

January 26: South Carolina (Democratic)

January 29: Florida

February 1: Maine (Republican)

February 5: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho (Democratic), Illinois, Kansas (Democratic), Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico (Democratic), New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah

January 9, 2008 at 11:46 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary, Democratic Party | Permalink | Comments (1)

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

(Updated) 2008 NH Primary: Resources & Results

Manchester
Photo by Steve Terrell on the ground in NH. Go see more.

UPDATE 10:04 PM: Okay, I lied. I didn't return with updates so I'm especially glad that NM FBIHOP live blogged it. Good job. I got too comfortable on my couch watching the returns on TV like I used to do in the days before blogging, and enjoyed every minute of it. This is gonna be some marathon for our top three candidates. And sheesh, McCain gave read a horrible victory speech, didn't he? I'll have more tomorrow and so will every other blogger and news outlet! On to Nevada.

Democrats
268 of 301 Precincts Reporting (89%)
Hillary Clinton 99,863 39%
Barack Obama 93,033 36%
John Edwards 43,100 17%
Bill Richardson 11,656 5%
Dennis Kucinich 3,485 1%

Republicans
267 of 301 Precincts Reporting (89%)
John McCain 79,061 37%
Mitt Romney 67,574 32%
Mike Huckabee 23,667 11%
Rudy Giuliani 18,362 9%
Ron Paul 16,281 8%
Fred Thompson 2,572 1%
Duncan Hunter 1,085 1%

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The Manchester Union Leader is huge turnouts today in New Hampshire. You can learn more about this contest and its history at Wikipedia. Helpful sites to keep an eye on as the day goes on and results and exit polling data start coming in after the polls close:

I'll be coming back with updates later.

January 8, 2008 at 03:30 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink | Comments (8)