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Tuesday, April 08, 2008
Latest Obama-Clinton Polling
Obama is still trending up in the two major national tracking polls during a period when Clinton's Bosnia sniper fantasy dominated much of the coverage. I'd guess this will continue when the impacts of the Clinton tax return release and Mark Penn's serious conflict of interest on Colombian "free" trade enter the picture.
NATIONAL
Gallup daily tracking poll. 4/4-6. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/2-5 results)
Obama 52 (49)
Clinton 43 (46)
Rasmussen daily tracking poll. 4/3-6. Likely voters. MoE 3% (4/3-5 results)
Obama 51 (50)
Clinton 41 (42)
UPDCOMING PRIMARY STATES
Clinton's still leading in Indiana anywhere from 3 to 10 points, but Obama has made inroads. She's way ahead in Kentucky. The results in both states essentially match expectations. Obama is dramatically ahead in North Carolina, as predicted. In Pennsylvania, Obama seems to be closing the gap rather dramatically, at least according to the two most recent polls, although results are all over the map. Suffice it to say the race in PA is in flux:
INDIANA
Pollster | Dates | N/Pop | Clinton | Obama | Undecided |
ARG | 4/2-3/08 | 600 LV | 53 | 44 | 2 |
Research 2000 | 3/31-4/2/08 | 400 LV | 49 | 46 | 2 |
SurveyUSA | 3/29-31/08 | 530 LV | 52 | 43 | 1 |
KENTUCKY
Pollster | Dates | N/Pop | Clinton | Obama | Undecided |
SurveyUSA | 3/28-30/08 | 572 LV | 58 | 29 | 4 |
NORTH CAROLINA
Pollster | Dates | N/Pop | Clinton | Obama | Undecided |
PPP (D) | 4/5-6/08 | 928 LV | 33 | 54 | 13 |
Rasmussen | 4/3/08 | 704 LV | 33 | 56 | 11 |
Charlotte Observer | 3/29-4/1/08 | 400 LV | 26 | 35 | 39 |
ARG | 3/29-30/08 | 600 LV | 38 | 51 | 7 |
PENNSYLVANIA
Pollster | Dates | N/Pop | Clinton | Obama | Undecided |
ARG | 4/5-6/08 | 600 LV | 45 | 45 | 6 |
InsiderAdvantage | 4/2/08 | 659 LV | 45 | 43 | 12 |
Muhlenberg | 3/27-4/2/08 | 406 LV | 51 | 41 | 6 |
PPP (D) | 3/31-4/1/08 | 1224 LV | 43 | 45 | 13 |
Rasmussen | 3/31/08 | 730 LV | 47 | 42 | 11 |
SurveyUSA | 3/29-31/08 | LV | 53 | 41 | 2 |
Quinnipiac | 3/24-31/08 | 1549 RV | 50 | 41 | 8 |
Strategic Vision (R) | 3/28-30/08 | LV | 49 | 41 | 10 |
All polling data from https://www.pollster.com/.
April 8, 2008 at 07:00 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink