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Tuesday, March 11, 2008

(Updated) Mississippi Dem Prez Primary: Polls and Results


Columbus MS: Not running for VP of the United States ...

UPDATED: Obama wins Mississippi as expected.
Obama   255,809  61%   19 delegates  100% reporting
Clinton   155,686  37%   14 delegates

The polls are open for Mississippi's Dem presidential primary from 7 AM to 7 PM Central time today. Once again, record-breaking turnout is expected. It's been 20 years since Mississippi had any real say in a Dem prez primary. Recent polling shows Obama has a good chance of beating Clinton by double digits in the state. There are 33 pledged delegates up for grabs in the open primary. RESULTS will be reported here once the polls close at 6 PM our time.

There's a six-week gap between Mississippi and the next Dem primary in Pennsylvania on April 22. Do you think Penna. residents will get tired of all the ads, phone calls and canvassers knocking at their doors? With 158 pledged delegates at stake, both campaigns will be going all out to contact and win over voters over the next month and a half -- although it's next to impossible for Clinton to overcome Obama's pledged delegate lead. Contests remaining after Pennsylvania (pledged delegates in parentheses):

  • 5/3: Guam (4)
  • 5/6: North Carolina (115)
  • 5/6: Indiana (72)
  • 5/13: West Virginia (28)
  • 5/20: Oregon (52)
  • 5/20: Kentucky (51)
  • 6/1: Puerto Rico (55)
  • 6/3: Montana (16)
  • 6/3: South Dakota (15)

March 11, 2008 at 04:06 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink

Comments

The likely delegate split is 19 for Obama to 14 for Clinton. However, one Congressional District is close to the tipping point, as is the state as a whole. It's possible that absentee and provisional ballots could change the delegate numbers, albeit unlikely.

Posted by: Proud Democrat | Mar 12, 2008 1:35:08 PM

I updated to your numbers, which agree with CNN's now that 100% of the precincts are in. But as you say, additional delegate changes can dribble in as they have from CA and TX.

Of course it's becoming very clear that Clinton won't be fighting for the nomination on the basis of the delegate count since it's almost impossible for her to overtake Obama's lead. Her campaign realizes it can only get the nom by manipulating the narrative and the superdelegates while putting as much stuff out there as they can related to race, gender and red phone at 3AM smears. It makes me sick.

Posted by: | Mar 12, 2008 2:23:48 PM

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