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Tuesday, February 19, 2008

(Updated) Dem Prez Race: Wisconsin Primary, Hawaii Caucus

UPDATE 2/20/08: Wipeout. Not even close. Obama overwhelmed Clinton in Wisconsin 58.1% to 40.7% and in Hawaii 75.7% to 23.6%. Obama has now won in 10 straight states. According to analysts, Clinton would have to win the remaining states by something like a 60% to 40% margin to catch Obama in the pledged delegate count. In recent polling, Obama has pulled even with Clinton in Texas, and he's gaining ground in Ohio with Clinton's lead being cut in half over the past week there. The next contests will occur on March 4th in Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island.

In Wisconsin, Obama's victory spanned the state and many demographic categories. Even in categories where Clinton has been winning, Obama made major inroads. Clinton did win 60-39% among those aged 65 and older but among white women, Clinton hung on by only a 51-49% margin. Among voters with only a high school education, Clinton won 52-44%. Clinton won among Catholics, but only by 51-49%. After Obama's projected victory was announced last night, Clinton gave a speech in Youngstown, Ohio and did not say a word about the Wisconsin primary or congratulate Obama on his win.

As in previous primaries and caucuses, the Democratic turnout more than doubled that of Republicans. The total Democratic vote in Wisconsin was 1,110,702 versus 409,078 for Republicans.
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It's arctic, windy and icy in many areas of Wisconsin today, but the weather is clear and the primary goes on. These folks are used to biting cold. Recent polling shows Obama and Clinton in a statistical tie. The polls close at 7:00 PM MST, and 74 pledged delegates are at stake. CNN results.

Not surprisingly, it's balmy and beautiful for today's Hawaii caucuses. No polling is available, but Obama is favored because he does so well in caucuses and his half-sister, Honolulu school teacher Maya Soetoro-Ng, is campaigning for him. Obama was born in Hawaii and spent most of his years through age 18 there. There are 20 pledged delegates up for grabs. CNN results aren't expected until around Midnight New Mexico time.

February 19, 2008 at 05:00 PM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink

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